Conf = NESCAC State = MA
Coach = Brooke Diamond O'BriGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.6609879 home-field advantage = -0.69 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 301 A Middlebury NESCAC (21- 1, 99.2) 6-15 308 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 6- 8, 92.2) 9- 6 312 H MIT NEWMAC (13- 8, 89.1) 14- 8 315 H Colby NESCAC (17- 4, 95.8) 11-12 319 A Haverford Centennial (15- 6, 92.1) 16-11 322 A Bowdoin NESCAC ( 6- 9, 89.8) 13- 9 323 A Westfield State MASCAC ( 6-11, 82.5) 18- 6 329 A Stevens MAC Freedom (17- 5, 92.6) 16-11 402 A Wesleyan NESCAC (15- 6, 96.5) 9- 8 405 H Williams NESCAC ( 7- 9, 93.8) 11- 8 409 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 7- 8, 91.2) 10-12 412 H Bates NESCAC ( 7- 9, 91.7) 14-11 415 H Framingham State MASCAC (10- 9, 80.1) 21- 3 419 A Tufts NESCAC (21- 2, 99.9) 9-20 423 H Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 9, 93.0) 15-12 426 H Wesleyan NESCAC (15- 6, 96.5) 10-11 511 H William Smith Liberty Leagu (14- 5, 93.3) 12-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Middlebury 6-15 -9 -5 -1.77 308 H Hamilton 9- 6 3 3 -0.18 312 H MIT 14- 8 6 6 -0.26 315 H Colby 11-12 -1 0 -0.51 319 A Haverford 16-11 5 1 + 3.13 322 A Bowdoin 13- 9 4 4 -0.17 323 A Westfield State 18- 6 12 11 0.00 329 A Stevens 16-11 5 1 + 3.66 402 A Wesleyan 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.56 405 H Williams 11- 8 3 1 1.45 409 A Connecticut College 10-12 -2 2 -- -4.81 412 H Bates 14-11 3 3 -0.61 415 H Framingham State 21- 3 18 15 0.00 419 A Tufts 9-20 -11 -5 -1.07 423 H Trinity 15-12 3 2 0.64 426 H Wesleyan 10-11 -1 -1 0.17 511 H William Smith 12-13 -1 2 - -3.09UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 A Connecticut College 10-12 -2 2 -- -4.81 511 H William Smith 12-13 -1 2 - -3.09OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 A Haverford 16-11 5 1 + 3.13 329 A Stevens 16-11 5 1 + 3.66 402 A Wesleyan 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.56
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 94.66 Power Rank................. 6 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 82.33 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 7 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7213 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 17 RPI Rating............... .6398 RPI Rank................... 19 Champ. Probability ...... 2.0 Championship Rank ......... 11 Selection sum ........... 57 Selection Rank ............ 15 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 70. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 9 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 20. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 21 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3